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The 2008 Hurricane Season
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Above Average 2008 Hurricane Season Expected
Colorado State University’s annual long range Atlantic hurricane forecast for 2008 is calling for “well above-
average” hurricane activity this summer. The hurricane forecast is prepared annually by researchers in the
Department of Atmospheric Science at CSU.
The study, prepared by Professor William Gray and research
scientist Philip Klotzbach calls for fifteen named storms of which
eight are forecast to become hurricanes. The long-term average is
about ten named storms and six hurricanes each year. Of the
eight hurricanes, four are forecast to develop into major hurricanes
of category 3 or higher.
In addition to the number of storms, the study puts the odds of at
least one major hurricane making landfall somewhere on the U.S.
coastline at 69%, versus a long-term average of about 52%. This
is of particular interest to the oil and natural gas industries which
sustained heavy losses in 2005 from hurricanes Katrina and Rita.
The researchers developed their hurricane forecast model based
on data from the 58-year period of 1950 – 2007. The model
correctly predicted above-average or below-average hurricane
seasons in 45 of the 58 years.
The Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1.
Hurricane Dean Washington Post
Latest Official Hurricane Information
Click here for the latest official hurricane information
from the National Hurricane Center.
2008 Atlantic Hurricane Names
Arthur Bertha Cristobal Dolly Edouard
Fay Gustav Hanna Ike Josephine
Kyle Laura Marco Nana Omar
Paloma Rene Sally Teddy Vicky
Wilfred
Hurricane Categories (Saffir-Simpson Scale)
Category 1: Winds 74-95 mph; Minor property damage
Category 2: Winds 96-110 mph; Light property damage
Category 3: Winds 111-130 mph; Moderate property damage
Category 4: Winds 131-155 mph; Heavy property damage
Category 5: Winds greater than 155 mph; Devastating property damage
According to the National Weather Service, the four primary
hazards from hurricanes are the storm surge, high winds,
flooding and tornadoes. The storm surge is defined as an
abnormal rise in sea level accompanying a hurricane the height
of which is the difference between the observed level of the sea
surface and the level that would have occurred in the absence of
the hurricane. The storm surge is usually estimated by
subtracting the normal or astronomic high tide from the observed
storm tide. <<More Hurricane Information>>
The National Hurricane Center recommends a disaster supply kit for those living in hurricane prone areas: Water (at lease 1 gallon
per person per day for 3-7 days), food (for 3-7 days, including non-perishable or canned food, juices and snacks), blankets and
pillows, extra clothing, a first aid kit, toiletries, flashlights and batteries, a battery operated emergency radio (see below), fully charged
cell phone, cash, keys, tools, important documents, a full tank of gas in your vehicle, and some games or books.